Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 25.553259 29.495502 33.752930 38.681223 44.217209 50.231830 57.248692
2025-02-02 20.555111 26.441789 33.389535 42.135819 52.787996 65.272439 80.937813
2025-02-09 16.433790 23.086022 31.515944 42.847264 57.526399 75.731920 99.826566
2025-02-16 13.378889 20.283834 29.582675 42.788614 60.787625 84.155745 116.423928
2025-02-23 11.029288 17.920422 27.721446 42.332918 63.145901 91.246888 131.467982
2025-03-02 9.271718 16.061265 26.212729 42.023757 65.446249 98.176748 146.506370
2025-03-09 7.872255 14.490005 24.859449 41.677177 67.499281 104.720561 161.233523
2025-03-16 6.303661 12.370776 22.355043 39.238599 66.124966 106.111870 168.536347
2025-03-23 5.716855 11.815752 22.254110 40.498207 70.391941 115.941861 188.586779
2025-03-30 5.291677 11.475994 22.450173 42.216792 75.450191 127.199515 211.315428
2025-04-06 4.527727 10.375427 21.187095 41.330672 76.182496 131.767487 224.021546
2025-04-13 3.748478 9.108604 19.457144 39.429355 75.021598 133.195428 231.812756
2025-04-20 3.570798 9.088052 20.106876 41.960912 81.800281 148.141979 262.422575
2025-04-27 3.517709 9.339268 21.327939 45.695073 91.022642 167.760587 301.829542
2025-05-04 3.156976 8.838728 20.995615 46.463744 95.027576 178.914909 328.003097
2025-05-11 2.768762 8.196683 20.282064 46.401955 97.484315 187.539698 350.373315
2025-05-18 2.400968 7.526842 19.410895 45.913482 99.067372 194.684643 370.532772
2025-05-25 2.096002 6.951974 18.663146 45.581952 100.887777 202.300638 391.819155
2025-06-01 1.829800 6.422004 17.939162 45.210231 102.571029 209.720257 413.070417
2025-06-08 1.473689 5.548417 16.271116 42.593847 99.546833 208.317033 418.559869
2025-06-15 1.372373 5.412021 16.381487 43.945490 104.674466 222.304128 452.326684
2025-06-22 1.302466 5.359552 16.695971 45.788991 110.938407 238.732139 491.228144
2025-06-29 1.118275 4.888201 15.854748 44.838555 111.223331 243.723265 509.259427